Costco Wholesale (COST) Risk Assessment


COST Costco Wholesale Corp COST
96 GF Score
Price $951.67
GF Value $1,017.96
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Costco Wholesale Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Costco Wholesale is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Costco Wholesale  (NAS:COST) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Costco Wholesale Risk Assessment Related Terms

COST vs TGT, DG, DLTR: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Costco Wholesale Risk Assessment vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Risk Assessment falls into.


COST
96GF Score
Costco Wholesale Corp COST
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Costco Wholesale (COST) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $951.67 is trading 6.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $1,017.96. GuruFocus considers Costco Wholesale to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for COST:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $1,017.96 vs. price of $951.67 (6.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the COST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Costco Wholesale Business Description

Address 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for COST

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$951.67
Price
$1,017.96
GF Value